DATE: 02/072025
Jonathan G. Browning | Chief Strategy Officer | Hornet Corporation, Tennessee
Oil Demand Set to Hold Steady Through 2040: Insights from Vitol’s Latest Forecast
Global oil demand appears set for a prolonged period of stability—even in the face of an evolving energy landscape. Commodity trading powerhouse Vitol has released a long-term forecast that challenges earlier predictions from major institutions such as the International Energy Agency (IEA). According to Vitol’s analysis, crude oil consumption will remain at current levels over the next 15 years before gradually easing back to today’s average of about 105 million barrels per day (bpd) by 2040.
A Robust Outlook Amidst Mixed Forecasts
Vitol’s projection is notably optimistic compared to other forecasts in the market. The firm anticipates that crude demand will not only persist but actually rise to peak at roughly 110 million bpd in the near term. This outlook stands in contrast to the IEA’s forecast, which expects the peak to occur much sooner—reaching a little over 105 million bpd within the next four years. Meanwhile, BP’s analysis paints a more subdued picture: their projections suggest that demand could peak later in the decade before declining more sharply to around 91.4 million bpd by 2040.
Balancing the Energy Mix: Gasoline vs. Petrochemicals
It’s important to note that Vitol’s forecast does not signal a halt in the energy transition. In fact, the report underscores a significant shift in the types of oil products consumed. While demand for gasoline is projected to fall—driven primarily by the increasing adoption of electric vehicles, particularly in China—this decline is expected to be counterbalanced by a surge in petrochemical demand. Vitol’s analysts estimate that by 2040, petrochemicals could contribute an additional 6 million bpd, making up nearly 20% of total global crude oil consumption.
Furthermore, demand for liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) is also forecasted to grow over the next decade and a half, highlighting the complex dynamics at play in the global energy market.
Implications for the Future Energy Landscape
Vitol’s forecast provides a counter-narrative to the more cautious outlooks of some energy experts. The report suggests that while the rapid electrification of transport may reduce gasoline consumption, the overall demand for crude oil remains robust due to compensating factors such as petrochemical growth. This nuanced view reminds industry stakeholders that the energy transition is multifaceted, with shifts in consumer demand and industrial use influencing the broader market.
At Hornet Corp, we keep a close eye on these trends to help our partners and clients navigate an evolving energy ecosystem. Vitol’s analysis not only challenges previous assumptions about the pace of peak oil demand but also offers a strategic perspective on how product diversification—ranging from fuels to petrochemicals—will shape global energy consumption in the coming decades.
Stay tuned to our blog for more insights and analyses on the trends shaping the future of energy and how they may impact the markets.
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About the Author
Jonathan Browning, Chief Strategy Officer at Hornet Corporation, brings extensive experience in strategic planning, operations management, and stakeholder relations. With a focus on innovation and emerging technologies like AI and blockchain, Jonathan drives growth and operational excellence while championing American energy independence.
DISCLAIMER
This publication is provided for informational and marketing purposes only and does not constitute, nor should it be construed as, tax, legal, investment, or financial advice. Hornet Corporation, including its affiliates and subsidiaries (referred to as Hornet Corp. or H.Corp), expressly disclaims any liability arising from reliance upon the information contained herein. Readers are strongly encouraged to seek independent counsel from qualified tax, legal, and financial professionals to address their specific facts, circumstances, and objectives.~ This document is a Hornet Corporation publication intended to provide general, non-specific information based on historical and current data, statistical references, and/or research. Certain content may include citations or references to third-party sources. While reasonable efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information, Hornet Corporation makes no representations, warranties, or guarantees, whether express or implied, as to the reliability, timeliness, or accuracy of the information provided. ~Should you believe any information herein needs to be more accurate, complete, or otherwise requires clarification, please contact Hornet Corporation directly at info@hornetcorp.com. ~ All content herein, including but not limited to text, graphics, and design, is copyrighted and constitutes the sole intellectual property of Hornet Corporation. Unauthorized use, reproduction, dissemination, or distribution of this material, in whole or part, without prior written consent is strictly prohibited. Hornet Corporation expressly reserves all rights.
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For a quarter of a century in the oil industry, our team at Hornet Corp has navigated the inherent fluctuations of a commodity-based market with unwavering stability. Our operational approach and robust structure have fortified our resilience, allowing us to withstand significant downturns such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2008-2009 financial crisis. While many companies retracted or shuttered during these challenging times, we, alongside our partners, remained steadfast, continuously investing in our shared objectives.
Our partners deeply value our commitment and trust in our dedication to every aspect of our business—from effectively producing wells and ensuring the prompt delivery of tax documents to the timely distribution of revenue checks and maintaining seamless communication throughout the entire process.
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Our Executives Have Mud on Their Boots: Vertically Integrated
Beyond our comprehensive involvement in each phase of oil well development, we've strategically invested in adeptly navigating the complexities of a commodity-based business. Hornet Corp owns leasing and operating companies, demonstrating our commitment to integrated asset management. We've established a robust infrastructure that supports our operations by owning our headquarters, field office, research and development office, and supply yard. These strategic assets, combined with our unique business model, empower us to efficiently raise capital, drill, and complete wells swiftly and cost-effectively, setting us apart in the industry.
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No Middlemen! Hornet Corp & You: Owner Operator
Our involvement spans the entire oil well development spectrum, offering our partners a seamless experience. This comprehensive approach eliminates the need for middlemen and reliance on multiple companies. We oversee everything from leasing, investment, drilling, and completion to the operation of the wells, ensuring efficiency and cohesion at every step. By centralizing these phases under one roof, we streamline the process, making it more accessible and effective for our partners and enhancing the overall potential success of each project.
Strategically Designed, Optimized Structure
We design our programs to offer accredited partners significant ownership across multiple wells without requiring a hefty investment. By advocating for diversifying investments across several wells, we maximize potential returns for our partners. Additionally, our strategically chosen locations provide the unique opportunity to drill wells that can tap into multiple pay zones within various formations, significantly enhancing the chances of success. Our approach goes beyond targeting a single pay zone, aiming for multiple layers of potential within each well to ensure sustained profitability.
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If you’re interested in exploring how Hornet Corporation’s oil and gas opportunities may align with your investment goals, we’re here to help. Please note that due to the inherent risks associated with oil and gas drilling ventures, we partner exclusively with accredited investors. Click the button below to schedule your appointment today and connect with one of our knowledgeable representatives. Don’t wait—get started now!
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Building Relationships: Seamless Partnership
By blending today’s cutting-edge technology with traditional old-school, open-door communication, we manage and nurture our partnerships securely and effectively. This balance ensures that our partners enjoy a high level of trust in a stable and transparent environment, fostering long-term relationships. As a result, our partners often engage in multiple projects and ventures with us rather than just a single investment, solidifying sustainable and enduring partnerships.
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Hornet Corporation is proud to be a BBB A+ accredited company, reflecting our commitment to trust and transparency in all we do. With a 4.5-star rating on Google reviews, a 5-star rating on Facebook, and a 5-star rating on Glassdoor from former employees, our reputation for excellence is backed by clients and team members alike. These ratings highlight our dedication to delivering exceptional service and fostering a positive work environment.
Hornet Corporation’s leadership has been recognized as keynote speakers at prestigious Forbes events, including the World Money Show, The Investment Masters Symposium in Miami, FreedomFest, and Mines & Money, showcasing our expertise and leadership in the energy sector. As a proud member of the Hendersonville Chamber of Commerce, the Tennessee Oil and Gas Association, and the Kentucky Oil and Gas Association, we are deeply committed to both local and regional energy initiatives. Hornet has also been honored with the Oil and Gas Boom Maker Award, a testament to our groundbreaking discoveries and unwavering efforts to advance American energy production, fostering innovation and energy independence.
ABOUT OUR TEAM
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ALAN MURRELL -CEO
Alan Murrell, CEO of Hornet Corporation, is a leader in the energy sector with a focus on ethical resource development. Born in Metcalfe County, Kentucky, he runs the family-owned business with his wife, Kimberly, and their three children, highlighting the importance of family, community, and innovation. Alan navigated the company through tough times, including the financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, showing resilience and a commitment to growth. The Boom Maker award recognizes his efforts in domestic oil development and environmental stewardship. Alan’s leadership at Hornet Corporation reflects his dedication to his family, community, and sustainable energy.
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About the Hornet Corporation Leadership Team
Hornet Corporation’s leadership team combines expertise in finance, operations, strategy, and field management to drive the company’s success in domestic oil and gas ventures.
Kimberly Murrell, CFO,
Optimizes financial strategy and sustainability, focusing on growth, accountability, and transparency.
Ronald C. Filer, COO,
Leverages over two decades of experience in oil development and acquisitions, ensuring operational excellence and strong partner relationships.
Jonathan G. Browning, CSO,
Implements strategic initiatives and growth opportunities with a focus on efficiency and innovation.
Greg Parnell, Director of Field Operations,
Manages drilling and production activities, ensuring projects meet timelines and high operational standards.
This seasoned team’s combined leadership and expertise position Hornet Corporation as a trusted oil and gas development force.
DID YOU KNOW?
You can diversify with an opportunity that carries up to a 100% tax write-off. Join Hornet Corp in leveraging your tax dollars to invest in a stable and profitable oil industry venture.
WATCH THE BRIEF VIDEO BELOW ON THE AGGRESSIVE TAX ADVANTAGES OF OIL DRILLING OPPORTUNITIES
Learn How Oil and Gas Investing Can Offer Tax Benefits: Watch Below.
Are you interested in discovering how oil and gas investments can provide unique tax advantages for accredited investors? Hornet Corporation is here to help you explore these opportunities and how they may align with your financial goals. Due to the inherent risks involved in oil and gas drilling ventures, we work exclusively with accredited investors. Click the button below to schedule your appointment and speak with one of our knowledgeable representatives to learn more. Don’t wait—get started today!
Investing in oil and gas offers unique opportunities for tax savings that can significantly enhance your financial strategy. Through provisions like the Intangible Drilling Costs (IDC) deduction, investors can deduct a substantial portion of well-related expenses in the year they are incurred, potentially reducing taxable income. Additional benefits include the depletion allowance and favorable amortization schedules for certain costs. To discover how these incentives can work for you, click here to learn more.
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